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Analysis of primary care prescription trends in England during the COVID-19 pandemic compared against a predictive model

BMJ

We used the first six years of the dataset to form a predictive model using Holt-Winters forecasting (a time series predictive method based on trends and seasonality), and then compared the observed data from November 2019 to November 2020 with the model to assess the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on prescribing.